The Supreme Court's February 20 ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump struck down IEEPA-based tariffs 6-3, repealing the reciprocal, fentanyl, and universal baseline tariff regimes. The administration immediately imposed replacement tariffs under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 — which expire after 150 days. The resulting legal uncertainty is itself suppressing consumer spending. For sales-tax-funded CIDs, tariff-driven price increases compressing consumer purchasing power combined with legal uncertainty suppressing forward planning creates a revenue modelling problem. Yale's Budget Lab estimated average per-household income loss of approximately $2,400 from tariff price effects. City economic development offices overseeing CIDs should be stress-testing revenue projections against a range of consumer spending scenarios.

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Whether the Section 122 tariff structure is extended, replaced, or allowed to lapse, and the consumer spending implications for CID corridors in each scenario.